Estimation of Drug-Target Residence Time by Targeted Molecular Dynamics Simulations

Drug-target residence time has emerged as a key selection factor in drug discovery since the binding duration of a drug molecule to its protein target can significantly impact its in vivo efficacy. The challenge in studying the residence time, in early drug discovery stages, lies in how to cost-effectively determine the residence time for the systematic assessment of compounds. Currently, there is still a lack of computational protocols to quickly estimate such a measure, particularly for large and flexible protein targets and drugs. Here, we report an efficient computational protocol, based on targeted molecular dynamics, to rank drug candidates by their residence time and to obtain insights into ligand–target dissociation mechanisms. The method was assessed on a dataset of 10 arylpyrazole inhibitors of CDK8, a large, flexible, and clinically important target, for which the experimental residence time of the inhibitors ranges from minutes to hours. The compounds were correctly ranked according to their estimated residence time scores compared to their experimental values. The analysis of protein–ligand interactions along the dissociation trajectories highlighted the favorable contribution of hydrophobic contacts to residence time and revealed key residues that strongly affect compound residence time.