posted on 2018-10-23, 13:41authored byKyle P. Messier, Sarah E. Chambliss, Shahzad Gani, Ramon Alvarez, Michael Brauer, Jonathan J. Choi, Steven P. Hamburg, Jules Kerckhoffs, Brian LaFranchi, Melissa M. Lunden, Julian D. Marshall, Christopher J. Portier, Ananya Roy, Adam A. Szpiro, Roel C. H. Vermeulen, Joshua S. Apte
Air
pollution measurements collected through systematic mobile monitoring
campaigns can provide outdoor concentration data at high spatial resolution.
We explore approaches to minimize data requirements for mapping a
city’s air quality using mobile monitors with “data-only”
versus predictive modeling approaches. We equipped two Google Street
View cars with 1-Hz instruments to collect nitric oxide (NO) and black
carbon (BC) measurements in Oakland, CA. We explore two strategies
for efficiently mapping spatial air quality patterns through Monte
Carlo analyses. First, we explore a “data-only” approach
where we attempt to minimize the number of repeated visits needed
to reliably estimate concentrations for all roads. Second, we combine
our data with a land use regression-kriging (LUR-K) model to predict
at unobserved locations; here, measurements from only a subset of
roads or repeat visits are considered. Although LUR-K models did not
capture the full variability of on-road concentrations, models trained
with minimal data consistently captured important covariates and general
spatial air pollution trends, with cross-validation R2 for log-transformed NO and BC of 0.65 and 0.43. Data-only
mapping performed poorly with few (1–2) repeated drives but
obtained better cross-validation R2 than
the LUR-K approach within 4 to 8 repeated drive days per road segment.